“You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you. You are right because your data and reasoning are right.”
– Benjamin Graham
We’re starting off with this quote to remind us that we should not follow opinions, but rely on our ability to reason and gather facts. Easier said than done, what are facts? Everybody has a way to interpret numbers, figures. One analyst can recommend a stock while another is downgrading it. There can be no consensus in the market for the buyer / seller principle to work - one’s man junk is another man’s treasure.
I am going to look at this post using some numbers; some publicly disclosed, some calculated. But rest assured only to the level that I can understand. Being a Bachelor of Mathematics doesn’t mean anything when it comes to analyzing financial numbers. I’ll only refer to common sense numbers, hopefully nothing beyond comprehension! I’ll also use Canadian dollars for convenience!
The IPO Story
To recap, Wendy’s decided to spin off 15% of its ownership of Tim Hortons in a public IPO. In total, 29 million shares will be made available at C$25 to C$27 per share. Here’s the press release that explains that the preliminary filing prospectus showed an initial target range of C$21 to C$23 per share. The stock IPO has garnered national attention, appearing in newspapers, television, radio, blogs and virtually any media out there! There is a mania going on and that’s why this is a story for Investorial!
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